Value bet: Wellington Phoenix to win @ 3.55 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBrisbane Roar to win ✗42% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Brisbane Roar welcome Wellington Phoenix to Suncorp Stadium for a A League fixture on Saturday 21 March (05:00 WAT). In the table, Brisbane Roar are 3rd, among the top four, on 7 points after 3 matches; Wellington Phoenix are 1st (leading the league) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Brisbane Roar, last 4: DDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Western Sydney Wanderers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Wellington Phoenix, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Perth Glory, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brisbane Roar 1.4 xG, Wellington Phoenix 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brisbane Roar 42%, draw 25%, Wellington Phoenix 33%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Wellington Phoenix to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brisbane Roar 1–1 Wellington Phoenix. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brisbane Roar42%fair 2.37 · @1.97
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.55
Wellington Phoenix33%fair 3.03 · @3.55
2.76Expected goals
1.44Brisbane Roar xG
1.32Wellington Phoenix xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Brisbane Roar 1.4 – 1.3 Wellington Phoenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brisbane Roar to win✗
42%
2.37
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.70
Draw no bet
Brisbane Roar (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Wellington Phoenix +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
First team to score
Brisbane Roar to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brisbane Roar / FT Brisbane Roar✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Brisbane Roar – last 4
DDLD
13 Mar
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
2–2
D
28 Feb
vs Perth Glory
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Sydney
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Melbourne Victory
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Wellington Phoenix – last 5
WDLLD
14 Mar
vs Perth Glory
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Adelaide United
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Sydney
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Auckland
0–5
L
13 Feb
@ Western Sydney Wanderers
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix.
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix?
On our numbers Brisbane Roar have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Wellington Phoenix 33%.
How many goals will there be in Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix?
Our predicted score is Brisbane Roar 1–1 Wellington Phoenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix?
Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix (A League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Suncorp Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
