Value bet: Sydney to win @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSydney to win ✗52% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Sydney vs Newcastle Jets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sydney welcome Newcastle Jets to Sydney Football Stadium for a A League fixture on Sunday 22 March (05:00 WAT). In the table, Sydney are 2nd, among the top four, on 7 points after 4 matches; Newcastle Jets are 10th (in the drop zone) with 2.
Current form
Sydney, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Melbourne City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Newcastle Jets, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Auckland, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Newcastle Jets, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Sydney.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sydney 2.2 xG, Newcastle Jets 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sydney 52%, draw 19%, Newcastle Jets 28%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: Sydney to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sydney 2–1 Newcastle Jets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sydney52%fair 1.91 · @2.20
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @4.10
Newcastle Jets28%fair 3.54 · @2.68
3.46Expected goals
2.20Sydney xG
1.26Newcastle Jets xG
68%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sydney 2.2 – 1.3 Newcastle Jets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sydney to win✗
52%
1.91
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.30
Draw no bet
Sydney (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Newcastle Jets +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.95
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.42
First team to score
Sydney to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Sydney ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sydney / FT Sydney✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Sydney – last 6
LDWWDL
17 Mar
vs Melbourne City
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Melbourne Victory
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Wellington Phoenix
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Brisbane Roar
1–0
W
17 Feb
vs Auckland
1–1
D
14 Feb
vs Adelaide United
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Newcastle Jets – last 5
LWDWW
14 Mar
vs Auckland
1–2
L
7 Mar
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Central Coast Mariners
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Macarthur
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Perth Glory
3–1
W
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sydney and Newcastle Jets.
What is the prediction for Sydney vs Newcastle Jets?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Sydney vs Newcastle Jets?
On our numbers Sydney have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Newcastle Jets 28%.
How many goals will there be in Sydney vs Newcastle Jets?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sydney vs Newcastle Jets?
Our predicted score is Sydney 2–1 Newcastle Jets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Sydney vs Newcastle Jets?
Sydney vs Newcastle Jets (A League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Sydney Football Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
