Value bet: Perth Glory to win @ 3.55 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMelbourne City to win ✗43% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Perth Glory vs Melbourne City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Melbourne City travel to face Perth Glory on Sunday 22 March in the A League, with HBF Park the venue – the ball rolls at 09:00 WAT. In the table, Perth Glory are 5th, upper half, on 6 points after 4 matches; Melbourne City are 4th (among the top four) with 7. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Perth Glory, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Wellington Phoenix, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Melbourne City, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sydney, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Melbourne City, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.4 for Perth Glory.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Perth Glory 1.3 xG, Melbourne City 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Perth Glory 32%, draw 25%, Melbourne City 43%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Perth Glory to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Perth Glory 1–1 Melbourne City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Perth Glory32%fair 3.15 · @3.55
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.55
Melbourne City43%fair 2.31 · @1.97
2.65Expected goals
1.27Perth Glory xG
1.38Melbourne City xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Perth Glory 1.3 – 1.4 Melbourne City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melbourne City to win✗
43%
2.31
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
Melbourne City (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Perth Glory +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Melbourne City to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melbourne City / FT Melbourne City✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.70
–
Recent results
Perth Glory – last 5
LDDLL
14 Mar
@ Wellington Phoenix
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Auckland
2–2
D
28 Feb
@ Brisbane Roar
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Adelaide United
0–4
L
13 Feb
vs Newcastle Jets
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Melbourne City – last 5
WDLLD
17 Mar
@ Sydney
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Buriram United
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Auckland
0–3
L
21 Feb
vs Melbourne Victory
1–3
L
18 Feb
vs Gangwon FC
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Perth Glory and Melbourne City.
What is the prediction for Perth Glory vs Melbourne City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Perth Glory vs Melbourne City?
On our numbers Perth Glory have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Melbourne City 43%.
How many goals will there be in Perth Glory vs Melbourne City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Perth Glory vs Melbourne City?
Our predicted score is Perth Glory 1–1 Melbourne City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Perth Glory vs Melbourne City?
Perth Glory vs Melbourne City (A League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at HBF Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
