Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Perth Glory to win @ 3.15 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMacarthur to win ✗40% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.57
Perth Glory vs Macarthur: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Perth Glory welcome Macarthur to HBF Park for a A League fixture on Sunday 12 April (10:00 WAT). In the table, Perth Glory are 5th, upper half, on 6 points after 4 matches; Macarthur are 7th (lower half) with 5. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Perth Glory, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Central Coast Mariners, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Macarthur, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Newcastle Jets, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Perth Glory 1.4 xG, Macarthur 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Perth Glory 36%, draw 24%, Macarthur 40%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Perth Glory to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Perth Glory 1–1 Macarthur. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Perth Glory36%fair 2.78 · @3.15
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.85
Macarthur40%fair 2.52 · @2.04
2.76Expected goals
1.44Perth Glory xG
1.32Macarthur xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Perth Glory 1.4 – 1.3 Macarthur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Macarthur to win✗
40%
2.52
2.04
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.50
Draw no bet
Macarthur (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Macarthur +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.22
First team to score
Perth Glory to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Perth Glory / FT Perth Glory✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.57
–
Recent results
Perth Glory – last 6
DDLDDL
4 Apr
@ Central Coast Mariners
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Melbourne City
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Wellington Phoenix
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Auckland
2–2
D
28 Feb
@ Brisbane Roar
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Adelaide United
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Macarthur – last 6
WWLLLL
2 Apr
vs Newcastle Jets
3–2
W
21 Mar
@ Auckland
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Melbourne Victory
1–4
L
4 Mar
vs Central Coast Mariners
1–3
L
28 Feb
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
0–4
L
22 Feb
@ Newcastle Jets
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Perth Glory and Macarthur.
What is the prediction for Perth Glory vs Macarthur?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Perth Glory vs Macarthur?
On our numbers Perth Glory have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Macarthur 40%.
How many goals will there be in Perth Glory vs Macarthur?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Perth Glory vs Macarthur?
Our predicted score is Perth Glory 1–1 Macarthur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Perth Glory vs Macarthur?
Perth Glory vs Macarthur (A League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at HBF Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
