Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.76
Kariobangi Sharks vs Tusker: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 2 March the FKF Premier League brings Kariobangi Sharks against Tusker at Kasarani Annex Stadium. Kick-off: 14:15 WAT.
Current form
Kariobangi Sharks, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over APS Bomet, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kariobangi Sharks 1.2 xG, Tusker 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kariobangi Sharks 44%, draw 23%, Tusker 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (85%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kariobangi Sharks 1–0 Tusker. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kariobangi Sharks44%fair 2.25
Draw23%fair 4.28
Tusker32%fair 3.10
2.05Expected goals
1.15Kariobangi Sharks xG
0.90Tusker xG
44%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Kariobangi Sharks 1.2 – 0.9 Tusker expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Kariobangi Sharks
Tusker
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+13%
+9%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.28
0.97
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kariobangi Sharks to win✗
44%
2.25
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Kariobangi Sharks (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Tusker +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Kariobangi Sharks to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kariobangi Sharks / FT Kariobangi Sharks✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.76
–
Recent results
Kariobangi Sharks – last 3
WDD
26 Feb
@ APS Bomet
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Mathare United
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ KCB
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tusker – last 2
WL
25 Feb
vs Murang'a SEAL
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Shabana
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kariobangi Sharks and Tusker.
What is the prediction for Kariobangi Sharks vs Tusker?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 85% chance.
Who will win Kariobangi Sharks vs Tusker?
On our numbers Kariobangi Sharks have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tusker 32%.
How many goals will there be in Kariobangi Sharks vs Tusker?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kariobangi Sharks vs Tusker?
Our predicted score is Kariobangi Sharks 1–0 Tusker, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Kariobangi Sharks vs Tusker?
Kariobangi Sharks vs Tusker (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Kasarani Annex Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
