Mara Sugar 61%Draw 19%Sofapaka 20%Expected goals 1.62 – 0.66
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultMara Sugar to win ✓61% · fair 1.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · fair 1.23
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.06
Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sofapaka travel to face Mara Sugar on Monday 2 March in the FKF Premier League, with Green Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Sofapaka, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Police, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mara Sugar 1.6 xG, Sofapaka 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mara Sugar 61%, draw 19%, Sofapaka 20%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mara Sugar 1–0 Sofapaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mara Sugar61%fair 1.64
Draw19%fair 5.37
Sofapaka20%fair 4.92
2.28Expected goals
1.62Mara Sugar xG
0.66Sofapaka xG
43%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Mara Sugar 1.6 – 0.7 Sofapaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mara Sugar
Sofapaka
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+6%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+49%
Our expected goals here
1.86
0.64
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mara Sugar to win✓
61%
1.64
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Mara Sugar (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Mara Sugar -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Mara Sugar to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mara Sugar / FT Mara Sugar✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.06
–
Recent results
Mara Sugar – last 2
DW
26 Feb
@ Bidco United
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Ulinzi Stars
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sofapaka – last 3
LLL
26 Feb
vs Police
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Homeboyz
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Murang'a SEAL
2–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mara Sugar and Sofapaka.
What is the prediction for Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance.
Who will win Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka?
On our numbers Mara Sugar have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sofapaka 20%.
How many goals will there be in Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka?
Our predicted score is Mara Sugar 1–0 Sofapaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka?
Mara Sugar vs Sofapaka (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Green Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
