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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AFC Leopards v Shabana: numbers & prediction

FKF Premier League · Kenya · Nyayo National Stadium
5–1
FT
AFC Leopards 47%Draw 30%Shabana 24% Expected goals 1.05 – 0.56
92%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.09 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultAFC Leopards to win ✓47% · fair 2.14
Double chanceAFC Leopards or draw ✓76% · fair 1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗66% · fair 1.52
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.75

AFC Leopards vs Shabana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:15 WAT, Sunday 1 March: AFC Leopards v Shabana in the FKF Premier League, played at Nyayo National Stadium. In the table, AFC Leopards are 3rd, among the top four, on 10 points after 6 matches; Shabana are 5th (upper half) with 9. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

AFC Leopards, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to KCB, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AFC Leopards 1.0 xG, Shabana 0.6 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 78% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Leopards 47%, draw 30%, Shabana 24%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (92%). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Leopards 1–0 Shabana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AFC Leopards47%fair 2.14
Draw30%fair 3.39
Shabana24%fair 4.23
1.61Expected goals
1.05AFC Leopards xG
0.56Shabana xG
34%Both score
22%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%
0–020%
1–112%
0–111%
2–011%
2–16%

From our goals model: AFC Leopards 1.0 – 0.6 Shabana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

AFC LeopardsShabana
Attack vs FKF Premier League average-12%-14%
Goals conceded vs average-46%-11%
Our expected goals here0.920.41

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAFC Leopards to win ✓47%2.14–
Double chanceAFC Leopards or draw ✓76%1.31–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗66%1.52–
Draw no betAFC Leopards (draw no bet) ✓66%1.51–
Asian handicapShabana +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗52%1.91–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗98%1.02–
First team to scoreAFC Leopards to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗55%1.82–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗27%3.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21%4.75–

Recent results

AFC Leopards – last 3

LWD
26 Feb@ KCB0–1L
21 Febvs Posta Rangers FC2–1W
14 Feb@ Bandari0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Shabana – last 2

WW
25 Feb@ Mathare United1–0W
21 Febvs Tusker1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between AFC Leopards and Shabana.

AFC Leopards vs Shabana head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AFC Leopards vs Shabana?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 92% chance.

Who will win AFC Leopards vs Shabana?

On our numbers AFC Leopards have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Shabana 24%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Leopards vs Shabana?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 34% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AFC Leopards vs Shabana?

Our predicted score is AFC Leopards 1–0 Shabana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is AFC Leopards vs Shabana?

AFC Leopards vs Shabana (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Nyayo National Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.