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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bandari v Nairobi United: numbers & prediction

FKF Premier League · Kenya · Mbaraki Sports Club
1–1
FT
Bandari 35%Draw 29%Nairobi United 36% Expected goals 0.87 – 0.84
91%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.10 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultNairobi United to win ✗36% · fair 2.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · fair 1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.59

Bandari vs Nairobi United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Wednesday 25 February: Bandari v Nairobi United in the FKF Premier League, played at Mbaraki Sports Club. In the table, Bandari are 9th, upper half, on 7 points after 6 matches; Nairobi United are 15th (lower half) with 5. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bandari 0.9 xG, Nairobi United 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bandari 35%, draw 29%, Nairobi United 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (91%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bandari 0–0 Nairobi United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bandari35%fair 2.82
Draw29%fair 3.50
Nairobi United36%fair 2.78
1.71Expected goals
0.87Bandari xG
0.84Nairobi United xG
40%Both score
24%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–018%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Bandari 0.9 – 0.8 Nairobi United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BandariNairobi United
Attack vs FKF Premier League average-30%+18%
Goals conceded vs average-30%-0%
Our expected goals here0.820.73

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNairobi United to win ✗36%2.78–
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71%1.40–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗60%1.68–
Draw no betNairobi United (draw no bet)50%1.99–
Asian handicapNairobi United +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓51%1.96–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreBandari to score first42%2.39–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓26%3.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.59–

Recent results

Bandari – last 2

WD
21 Feb@ Murang'a SEAL3–2W
14 Febvs AFC Leopards0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Nairobi United – last 2

WL
21 Febvs Bidco United3–0W
15 Feb@ Maniema Union0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bandari and Nairobi United.

Bandari vs Nairobi United head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bandari vs Nairobi United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 91% chance.

Who will win Bandari vs Nairobi United?

On our numbers Bandari have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Nairobi United 36%.

How many goals will there be in Bandari vs Nairobi United?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bandari vs Nairobi United?

Our predicted score is Bandari 0–0 Nairobi United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Bandari vs Nairobi United?

Bandari vs Nairobi United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Mbaraki Sports Club.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.