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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Posta Rangers FC v Homeboyz: numbers & prediction

FKF Premier League · Kenya · Kenyatta Stadium
0–2
FT
Posta Rangers FC 35%Draw 29%Homeboyz 36% Expected goals 1.10 – 1.08
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultHomeboyz to win ✓36% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.17

Posta Rangers FC vs Homeboyz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Homeboyz travel to face Posta Rangers FC on Saturday 28 March in the FKF Premier League, with Kenyatta Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:15 WAT. In the table, Posta Rangers FC are 10th, lower half, on 7 points after 6 matches; Homeboyz are 17th (in the drop zone) with 5. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Posta Rangers FC, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kariobangi Sharks, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Homeboyz, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bandari, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Posta Rangers FC 1.1 xG, Homeboyz 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Posta Rangers FC 35%, draw 29%, Homeboyz 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Posta Rangers FC 1–1 Homeboyz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Posta Rangers FC35%fair 2.82 · @2.62
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @2.90
Homeboyz36%fair 2.81 · @2.62
2.18Expected goals
1.10Posta Rangers FC xG
1.08Homeboyz xG
43%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Posta Rangers FC 1.1 – 1.1 Homeboyz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Posta Rangers FCHomeboyz
Attack vs FKF Premier League average-11%+2%
Goals conceded vs average+16%+4%
Our expected goals here1.091.04

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHomeboyz to win ✓36%2.812.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.411.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.76–
Draw no betHomeboyz (draw no bet) ✓50%1.99–
Asian handicapHomeboyz +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scorePosta Rangers FC to score first ✗45%2.24–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Posta Rangers FC / FT Posta Rangers FC ✗20%4.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.17–

Recent results

Posta Rangers FC – last 5

WWDLL
22 Mar@ Kariobangi Sharks2–1W
13 Marvs Police2–0W
5 Marvs GOR Mahia1–1D
1 Mar@ Murang'a SEAL0–1L
21 Feb@ AFC Leopards1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Homeboyz – last 6

DLWDWW
22 Marvs Bandari1–1D
15 Mar@ Tusker0–2L
2 Marvs APS Bomet2–1W
26 Feb@ Ulinzi Stars1–1D
20 Febvs Sofapaka2–0W
13 Feb@ Bidco United4–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Posta Rangers FC and Homeboyz.

Posta Rangers FC vs Homeboyz head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Posta Rangers FC vs Homeboyz?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Posta Rangers FC vs Homeboyz?

On our numbers Posta Rangers FC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Homeboyz 36%.

How many goals will there be in Posta Rangers FC vs Homeboyz?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Posta Rangers FC vs Homeboyz?

Our predicted score is Posta Rangers FC 1–1 Homeboyz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Posta Rangers FC vs Homeboyz?

Posta Rangers FC vs Homeboyz (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Kenyatta Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.