Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.53
Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 4 April the FKF Premier League brings Ulinzi Stars against APS Bomet at Ulinzi Sports Complex. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Ulinzi Stars are 14th, lower half, on 6 points after 6 matches; APS Bomet are 13th (lower half) with 6. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ulinzi Stars, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sofapaka, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
APS Bomet, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nairobi United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ulinzi Stars, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for APS Bomet.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ulinzi Stars 0.9 xG, APS Bomet 0.9 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ulinzi Stars 37%, draw 32%, APS Bomet 31%.
Lower-risk option: Ulinzi Stars or draw (69%) at 1.22.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ulinzi Stars or draw (69%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ulinzi Stars 0–0 APS Bomet. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ulinzi Stars37%fair 2.69 · @2.15
Draw32%fair 3.13 · @2.90
APS Bomet31%fair 3.24 · @3.20
1.72Expected goals
0.85Ulinzi Stars xG
0.86APS Bomet xG
41%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
0–116%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Ulinzi Stars 0.9 – 0.9 APS Bomet expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ulinzi Stars
APS Bomet
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-11%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-41%
Our expected goals here
0.62
0.78
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ulinzi Stars to win✗
37%
2.69
2.15
Double chance
Ulinzi Stars or draw✗
69%
1.45
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Draw no bet
Ulinzi Stars (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Ulinzi Stars +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
APS Bomet to score first✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.53
–
Recent results
Ulinzi Stars – last 6
WWLLDL
29 Mar
vs Sofapaka
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Nairobi United
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs GOR Mahia
1–3
L
2 Mar
@ Bidco United
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Homeboyz
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Mara Sugar
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
APS Bomet – last 6
DDDLLD
29 Mar
vs Nairobi United
0–0
D
21 Mar
@ Mara Sugar
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Bidco United
1–1
D
2 Mar
@ Homeboyz
1–2
L
26 Feb
vs Kariobangi Sharks
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Police
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ulinzi Stars and APS Bomet.
What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?
Our pick is Ulinzi Stars or draw with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?
On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 32% and APS Bomet 31%.
How many goals will there be in Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?
Our predicted score is Ulinzi Stars 0–0 APS Bomet, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?
Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ulinzi Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.