Wednesday 11 November 2026 15 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ulinzi Stars v APS Bomet: numbers & prediction

FKF Premier League · Kenya · Ulinzi Sports Complex
0–1
FT
Ulinzi Stars 37%Draw 32%APS Bomet 31% Expected goals 0.85 – 0.86
69%
Betarazi pick

Ulinzi Stars or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultUlinzi Stars to win ✗37% · @2.15
Double chanceUlinzi Stars or draw ✗69% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.53

Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 4 April the FKF Premier League brings Ulinzi Stars against APS Bomet at Ulinzi Sports Complex. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Ulinzi Stars are 14th, lower half, on 6 points after 6 matches; APS Bomet are 13th (lower half) with 6. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ulinzi Stars, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sofapaka, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

APS Bomet, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nairobi United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ulinzi Stars, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for APS Bomet.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ulinzi Stars 0.9 xG, APS Bomet 0.9 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ulinzi Stars 37%, draw 32%, APS Bomet 31%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ulinzi Stars or draw (69%) at 1.22.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ulinzi Stars or draw (69%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ulinzi Stars 0–0 APS Bomet. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ulinzi Stars37%fair 2.69 · @2.15
Draw32%fair 3.13 · @2.90
APS Bomet31%fair 3.24 · @3.20
1.72Expected goals
0.85Ulinzi Stars xG
0.86APS Bomet xG
41%Both score
25%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–018%
0–116%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–07%

From our goals model: Ulinzi Stars 0.9 – 0.9 APS Bomet expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Ulinzi StarsAPS Bomet
Attack vs FKF Premier League average-11%-10%
Goals conceded vs average-2%-41%
Our expected goals here0.620.78

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUlinzi Stars to win ✗37%2.692.15
Double chanceUlinzi Stars or draw ✗69%1.451.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓59%1.70–
Draw no betUlinzi Stars (draw no bet) ✗55%1.83–
Asian handicapUlinzi Stars +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗56%1.781.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreAPS Bomet to score first ✓41%2.42–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗26%3.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.53–

Recent results

Ulinzi Stars – last 6

WWLLDL
29 Marvs Sofapaka2–0W
22 Mar@ Nairobi United2–1W
15 Marvs GOR Mahia1–3L
2 Mar@ Bidco United0–1L
26 Febvs Homeboyz1–1D
22 Feb@ Mara Sugar1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

APS Bomet – last 6

DDDLLD
29 Marvs Nairobi United0–0D
21 Mar@ Mara Sugar0–0D
14 Marvs Bidco United1–1D
2 Mar@ Homeboyz1–2L
26 Febvs Kariobangi Sharks0–1L
22 Feb@ Police0–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ulinzi Stars and APS Bomet.

Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?

Our pick is Ulinzi Stars or draw with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?

On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 32% and APS Bomet 31%.

How many goals will there be in Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?

Our predicted score is Ulinzi Stars 0–0 APS Bomet, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet?

Ulinzi Stars vs APS Bomet (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ulinzi Sports Complex.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.