GOR Mahia 58%Draw 24%Kariobangi Sharks 18%Expected goals 1.49 – 0.75
60%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultGOR Mahia to win ✗58% · @1.45
Double chanceGOR Mahia or draw ✓82% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.27
GOR Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kariobangi Sharks travel to face GOR Mahia on Saturday 4 April in the FKF Premier League, with Moi International Sports Centre the venue – the ball rolls at 13:15 WAT.
Current form
GOR Mahia, last 4: WDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Ulinzi Stars, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Kariobangi Sharks, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to AFC Leopards, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours GOR Mahia, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Kariobangi Sharks.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give GOR Mahia 1.5 xG, Kariobangi Sharks 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – GOR Mahia 58%, draw 24%, Kariobangi Sharks 18%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: GOR Mahia 1–0 Kariobangi Sharks. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
GOR Mahia58%fair 1.73 · @1.45
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.70
Kariobangi Sharks18%fair 5.54 · @6.50
2.23Expected goals
1.49GOR Mahia xG
0.75Kariobangi Sharks xG
42%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: GOR Mahia 1.5 – 0.7 Kariobangi Sharks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
GOR Mahia
Kariobangi Sharks
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+20%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-20%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.41
0.80
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GOR Mahia to win✗
58%
1.73
1.45
Double chance
GOR Mahia or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Draw no bet
GOR Mahia (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Kariobangi Sharks +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
GOR Mahia to score first✗
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GOR Mahia / FT GOR Mahia✗
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.27
–
Recent results
GOR Mahia – last 4
WDWW
15 Mar
@ Ulinzi Stars
3–1
W
5 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs KCB
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ APS Bomet
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Kariobangi Sharks – last 6
LLWLWD
29 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Shabana
2–1
W
2 Mar
vs Tusker
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ APS Bomet
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Mathare United
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GOR Mahia and Kariobangi Sharks.
What is the prediction for GOR Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win GOR Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks?
On our numbers GOR Mahia have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kariobangi Sharks 18%.
How many goals will there be in GOR Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GOR Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Our predicted score is GOR Mahia 1–0 Kariobangi Sharks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is GOR Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks?
GOR Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Moi International Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
