Murang'a SEAL 30%Draw 29%AFC Leopards 41%Expected goals 0.98 – 1.16
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultAFC Leopards to win ✓41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.34
Murang'a SEAL vs AFC Leopards: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AFC Leopards travel to face Murang'a SEAL on Sunday 5 April in the FKF Premier League, with SportPesa Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Murang'a SEAL are 8th, upper half, on 8 points after 6 matches; AFC Leopards are 3rd (among the top four) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Murang'a SEAL, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Shabana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
AFC Leopards, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kariobangi Sharks, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours AFC Leopards, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Murang'a SEAL.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Murang'a SEAL 1.0 xG, AFC Leopards 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Murang'a SEAL 30%, draw 29%, AFC Leopards 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Murang'a SEAL 1–1 AFC Leopards. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Murang'a SEAL30%fair 3.37 · @3.35
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @2.85
AFC Leopards41%fair 2.43 · @2.15
2.14Expected goals
0.98Murang'a SEAL xG
1.16AFC Leopards xG
45%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Murang'a SEAL 1.0 – 1.2 AFC Leopards expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Murang'a SEAL
AFC Leopards
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+58%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+42%
-46%
Our expected goals here
1.00
1.11
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Leopards to win✓
41%
2.43
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
AFC Leopards (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Murang'a SEAL +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
AFC Leopards to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Leopards / FT AFC Leopards✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.34
–
Recent results
Murang'a SEAL – last 6
LDDWLL
29 Mar
@ Shabana
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Mathare United
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ KCB
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–0
W
25 Feb
@ Tusker
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Bandari
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
AFC Leopards – last 6
WWWWLW
29 Mar
vs Kariobangi Sharks
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Tusker
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Nairobi United
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Shabana
5–1
W
26 Feb
@ KCB
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Posta Rangers FC
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Murang'a SEAL and AFC Leopards.
What is the prediction for Murang'a SEAL vs AFC Leopards?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs AFC Leopards?
On our numbers Murang'a SEAL have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 29% and AFC Leopards 41%.
How many goals will there be in Murang'a SEAL vs AFC Leopards?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murang'a SEAL vs AFC Leopards?
Our predicted score is Murang'a SEAL 1–1 AFC Leopards, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Murang'a SEAL vs AFC Leopards?
Murang'a SEAL vs AFC Leopards (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at SportPesa Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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