Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.79
Kariobangi Sharks vs Homeboyz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Homeboyz travel to face Kariobangi Sharks on Saturday 23 May in the FKF Premier League – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT.
Current form
Kariobangi Sharks, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Nairobi United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Homeboyz, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Murang'a SEAL, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kariobangi Sharks 1.3 xG, Homeboyz 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kariobangi Sharks 49%, draw 23%, Homeboyz 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kariobangi Sharks 1–0 Homeboyz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kariobangi Sharks49%fair 2.03
Draw23%fair 4.40
Homeboyz28%fair 3.58
2.19Expected goals
1.31Kariobangi Sharks xG
0.88Homeboyz xG
44%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Kariobangi Sharks 1.3 – 0.9 Homeboyz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Kariobangi Sharks
Homeboyz
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+13%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.38
0.91
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kariobangi Sharks to win✗
49%
2.03
–
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Kariobangi Sharks (draw no bet)
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Homeboyz +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Kariobangi Sharks to score first
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kariobangi Sharks / FT Kariobangi Sharks✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.79
–
Recent results
Kariobangi Sharks – last 6
WDLDLL
10 May
vs Nairobi United
2–0
W
3 May
@ Bidco United
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Mara Sugar
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ GOR Mahia
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Homeboyz – last 6
LLDDWW
10 May
@ Murang'a SEAL
0–1
L
3 May
vs GOR Mahia
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ KCB
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Nairobi United
2–2
D
4 Apr
vs Mathare United
3–0
W
28 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kariobangi Sharks and Homeboyz.
What is the prediction for Kariobangi Sharks vs Homeboyz?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance.
Who will win Kariobangi Sharks vs Homeboyz?
On our numbers Kariobangi Sharks have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Homeboyz 28%.
How many goals will there be in Kariobangi Sharks vs Homeboyz?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kariobangi Sharks vs Homeboyz?
Our predicted score is Kariobangi Sharks 1–0 Homeboyz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Kariobangi Sharks vs Homeboyz?
Kariobangi Sharks vs Homeboyz (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
