Fiorentina W 54%Draw 25%Lazio W 21%Expected goals 1.70 – 0.95
79%
Betarazi pick
Fiorentina W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultFiorentina W to win ✓54% · @1.91
Double chanceFiorentina W or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.30
Fiorentina W vs Lazio W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Serie A Women brings Fiorentina W against Lazio W at Curva Fiesole - Viola Park. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Fiorentina W are 4th, among the top four, on 10 points after 6 matches; Lazio W are 11th (in the drop zone) with 3.
Current form
Fiorentina W, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Como W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Lazio W, last 4: WLDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Parma W, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fiorentina W 1.7 xG, Lazio W 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fiorentina W 54%, draw 25%, Lazio W 21%.
Lower-risk option: Fiorentina W or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fiorentina W or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fiorentina W 1–0 Lazio W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fiorentina W54%fair 1.86 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.25
Lazio W21%fair 4.68 · @3.30
2.65Expected goals
1.70Fiorentina W xG
0.95Lazio W xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Fiorentina W 1.7 – 0.9 Lazio W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fiorentina W to win✓
54%
1.86
1.91
Double chance
Fiorentina W or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Draw no bet
Fiorentina W (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Lazio W +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Fiorentina W to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fiorentina W / FT Fiorentina W✓
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Fiorentina W – last 6
WLLDDW
3 May
vs Como W
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Juventus W
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Juventus W
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Parma W
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Roma W
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Sassuolo W
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lazio W – last 4
WLDD
3 May
@ Parma W
3–1
W
25 Apr
vs Sassuolo W
0–3
L
21 Feb
vs AC Milan W
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Juventus W
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorentina W and Lazio W.
What is the prediction for Fiorentina W vs Lazio W?
Our pick is Fiorentina W or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fiorentina W vs Lazio W?
On our numbers Fiorentina W have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lazio W 21%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentina W vs Lazio W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina W vs Lazio W?
Our predicted score is Fiorentina W 1–0 Lazio W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fiorentina W vs Lazio W?
Fiorentina W vs Lazio W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Curva Fiesole - Viola Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
