Napoli W 53%Draw 26%Sassuolo W 21%Expected goals 1.66 – 1.01
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultNapoli W to win ✗53% · @1.73
Double chanceNapoli W or draw ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Napoli W vs Sassuolo W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sassuolo W travel to face Napoli W on Sunday 17 May in the Serie A Women, with Stadio Giuseppe Piccolo the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Napoli W are 9th, lower half, on 5 points after 6 matches; Sassuolo W are 12th (in the drop zone) with 2. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Napoli W, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Como W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Sassuolo W, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Roma W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Napoli W, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Sassuolo W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Napoli W 1.7 xG, Sassuolo W 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Napoli W 53%, draw 26%, Sassuolo W 21%.
Lower-risk option: Napoli W or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Napoli W 1–1 Sassuolo W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Napoli W53%fair 1.88 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.30
Sassuolo W21%fair 4.69 · @4.00
2.67Expected goals
1.66Napoli W xG
1.01Sassuolo W xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Napoli W 1.7 – 1.0 Sassuolo W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napoli W to win✗
53%
1.88
1.73
Double chance
Napoli W or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.73
Draw no bet
Napoli W (draw no bet)
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Sassuolo W +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Napoli W to score first✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napoli W / FT Napoli W✗
32%
3.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Recent results
Napoli W – last 5
DLWDD
9 May
@ Como W
0–0
D
2 May
vs Juventus W
2–3
L
4 Apr
vs Genoa W
4–1
W
21 Feb
vs Parma W
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Roma W
2–2
D
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sassuolo W – last 6
LWLDLL
10 May
vs Roma W
0–3
L
25 Apr
@ Lazio W
3–0
W
3 Apr
vs AC Milan W
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ Ternana W
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Inter Milano W
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Fiorentina W
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napoli W and Sassuolo W.
What is the prediction for Napoli W vs Sassuolo W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Napoli W vs Sassuolo W?
On our numbers Napoli W have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sassuolo W 21%.
How many goals will there be in Napoli W vs Sassuolo W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napoli W vs Sassuolo W?
Our predicted score is Napoli W 1–1 Sassuolo W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Napoli W vs Sassuolo W?
Napoli W vs Sassuolo W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Piccolo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
