CSKA Moscow vs FC Krasnodar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CSKA Moscow welcome FC Krasnodar to VEB Arena for a Cup fixture on Wednesday 4 March (18:45 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CSKA Moscow 1.6 xG, FC Krasnodar 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA Moscow 39%, draw 24%, FC Krasnodar 37%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.68.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA Moscow 1–1 FC Krasnodar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CSKA Moscow39%fair 2.56 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.56
FC Krasnodar37%fair 2.73 · @2.62
2.99Expected goals
1.57CSKA Moscow xG
1.43FC Krasnodar xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 1.6 – 1.4 FC Krasnodar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Moscow to win✓
39%
2.56
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.68
Draw no bet
CSKA Moscow (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
FC Krasnodar +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.07
First team to score
CSKA Moscow to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Moscow / FT CSKA Moscow✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.39
–
Recent results
CSKA Moscow – last 2
LW
1 Mar
@ Akhmat
0–1
L
18 Feb
vs FC Rostov
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Krasnodar – last 2
WL
28 Feb
vs FC Rostov
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Zenit
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSKA Moscow and FC Krasnodar.
What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?
On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Krasnodar 37%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?
Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 1–1 FC Krasnodar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is CSKA Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?
CSKA Moscow vs FC Krasnodar (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at VEB Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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