Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Wednesday 4 March: Krylia Sovetov v FC Orenburg in the Cup, played at Samara Arena.
Current form
Krylia Sovetov, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Dynamo, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
FC Orenburg, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Akron, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FC Orenburg, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Krylia Sovetov.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Krylia Sovetov 1.5 xG, FC Orenburg 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Krylia Sovetov 41%, draw 26%, FC Orenburg 33%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.64.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Krylia Sovetov 1–1 FC Orenburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Krylia Sovetov41%fair 2.47 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.38
FC Orenburg33%fair 2.99 · @2.82
2.85Expected goals
1.49Krylia Sovetov xG
1.36FC Orenburg xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 1.5 – 1.4 FC Orenburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Krylia Sovetov to win✓
41%
2.47
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.64
Draw no bet
Krylia Sovetov (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
FC Orenburg +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.07
First team to score
Krylia Sovetov to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Krylia Sovetov / FT Krylia Sovetov✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
Krylia Sovetov – last 3
LLW
1 Mar
@ Dynamo
0–4
L
22 Feb
vs Baltika
0–1
L
17 Feb
@ Chelyabinsk
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Orenburg – last 3
WWW
28 Feb
vs Akron
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Rubin
1–0
W
13 Feb
vs Alashkert
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Krylia Sovetov and FC Orenburg.
What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?
On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FC Orenburg 33%.
How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?
Our predicted score is Krylia Sovetov 1–1 FC Orenburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?
Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Samara Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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