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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

LD Alajuelense v CS Cartagines: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Costa-Rica · Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto
2–0
FT
LD Alajuelense 54%Draw 25%CS Cartagines 21% Expected goals 1.54 – 0.99
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultLD Alajuelense to win ✓54% · @1.67
Double chanceLD Alajuelense or draw ✓79% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68

LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CS Cartagines travel to face LD Alajuelense on Wednesday 4 March in the Primera División, with Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, LD Alajuelense are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; CS Cartagines are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

LD Alajuelense, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Puntarenas FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

CS Cartagines, last 4: DLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Carlos, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours CS Cartagines, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for LD Alajuelense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give LD Alajuelense 1.5 xG, CS Cartagines 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – LD Alajuelense 54%, draw 25%, CS Cartagines 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: LD Alajuelense 1–0 CS Cartagines. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

LD Alajuelense54%fair 1.85 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.50
CS Cartagines21%fair 4.81 · @4.75
2.53Expected goals
1.54LD Alajuelense xG
0.99CS Cartagines xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%

From our goals model: LD Alajuelense 1.5 – 1.0 CS Cartagines expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLD Alajuelense to win ✓54%1.851.67
Double chanceLD Alajuelense or draw ✓79%1.261.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.901.91
Draw no betLD Alajuelense (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapCS Cartagines +1 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreLD Alajuelense to score first ✓56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT LD Alajuelense / FT LD Alajuelense ✓30%3.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.68–

Recent results

LD Alajuelense – last 3

LLL
1 Mar@ Puntarenas FC0–2L
22 Feb@ Deportivo Saprissa1–2L
16 Febvs Sporting San Jose1–2L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

CS Cartagines – last 4

DLWL
2 Mar@ San Carlos1–1D
26 Feb@ Vancouver Whitecaps0–2L
22 Febvs Municipal Liberia2–1W
15 Feb@ CS Herediano0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between LD Alajuelense and CS Cartagines.

LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Saprissa161015+1631
2CS Cartagines161015+1231
3Sporting San Jose16934+730
4LD Alajuelense16853+1229
5San Carlos16826-226
6Inter San Carlos16556-620
7Puntarenas FC16547-619
8CS Herediano16439-515
9Escorpiones Belén164111-1213
10Perez Zeledon16259-1611

More Primera División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines?

On our numbers LD Alajuelense have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CS Cartagines 21%.

How many goals will there be in LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines?

Our predicted score is LD Alajuelense 1–0 CS Cartagines, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines?

LD Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines (Primera División) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.