Value bet: Municipal Liberia to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMunicipal Liberia to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 4 March the Primera División brings Perez Zeledon against Municipal Liberia. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT.
Current form
Perez Zeledon, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to CS Herediano, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Municipal Liberia, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sporting San Jose, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Municipal Liberia, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Perez Zeledon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Perez Zeledon 1.0 xG, Municipal Liberia 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Perez Zeledon 31%, draw 25%, Municipal Liberia 43%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Municipal Liberia to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Perez Zeledon 1–1 Municipal Liberia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Perez Zeledon31%fair 3.23 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.30
Municipal Liberia43%fair 2.30 · @2.50
2.50Expected goals
1.03Perez Zeledon xG
1.47Municipal Liberia xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Perez Zeledon 1.0 – 1.5 Municipal Liberia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Municipal Liberia to win✗
43%
2.30
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Draw no bet
Municipal Liberia (draw no bet)
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Perez Zeledon +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Municipal Liberia to score first
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Municipal Liberia / FT Municipal Liberia✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Perez Zeledon – last 3
LDL
1 Mar
@ CS Herediano
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Guadalupe FC
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Puntarenas FC
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Municipal Liberia – last 3
WLL
2 Mar
vs Sporting San Jose
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ CS Cartagines
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Deportivo Saprissa
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Perez Zeledon and Municipal Liberia.
What is the prediction for Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia?
On our numbers Perez Zeledon have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Municipal Liberia 43%.
How many goals will there be in Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia?
Our predicted score is Perez Zeledon 1–1 Municipal Liberia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia?
Perez Zeledon vs Municipal Liberia (Primera División) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
