Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.93
Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nacional Asuncion travel to face Sportivo Ameliano on Saturday 25 July in the Division Profesional Clausura – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Sportivo Ameliano are 9th, lower half, on 19 points after 19 matches; Nacional Asuncion are 4th (among the top four) with 32. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sportivo Ameliano, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sportivo Trinidense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Nacional Asuncion, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Libertad Asuncion, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nacional Asuncion, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Sportivo Ameliano.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Nacional Asuncion. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sportivo Ameliano 0 wins, Nacional Asuncion 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Ameliano 0.9 xG, Nacional Asuncion 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Ameliano 31%, draw 28%, Nacional Asuncion 41%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Nacional Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Ameliano31%fair 3.25 · @2.82
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @2.98
Nacional Asuncion41%fair 2.42 · @2.50
2.20Expected goals
0.91Sportivo Ameliano xG
1.29Nacional Asuncion xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sportivo Ameliano 0.9 – 1.3 Nacional Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?
On our numbers Sportivo Ameliano have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Nacional Asuncion 41%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Nacional Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
