Value bet: Deportivo Recoleta to win @ 2.06 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Recoleta to win ✗53% · @2.06
Double chanceDeportivo Recoleta or draw ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 25 July: Deportivo Recoleta v Club Sp. San Lorenzo in the Division Profesional Clausura, played at Estadio Ricardo Gregor. In the table, Deportivo Recoleta are 11th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 19 matches; Club Sp. San Lorenzo are 12th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Deportivo Recoleta, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Lorenzo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over 2 de Mayo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Deportivo Recoleta 4–2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Recoleta 1.7 xG, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Recoleta 53%, draw 25%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 23%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Recoleta or draw (77%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Recoleta to win @2.06 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo Recoleta or draw (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Recoleta 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Recoleta53%fair 1.90 · @2.06
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.25
Club Sp. San Lorenzo23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
2.69Expected goals
1.71Deportivo Recoleta xG
0.98Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Deportivo Recoleta 1.7 – 1.0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Our pick is Deportivo Recoleta or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
On our numbers Deportivo Recoleta have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Club Sp. San Lorenzo 23%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Recoleta 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ricardo Gregor.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
