Beşiktaş 66%Draw 20%Rizespor 14%Expected goals 2.31 – 0.99
66%
Betarazi pick
Beşiktaş to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.46 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.46Odds
Picks by market
ResultBeşiktaş to win ✓66% · @1.46
Double chanceBeşiktaş or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Beşiktaş vs Rizespor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 4 March the Cup brings Beşiktaş against Rizespor at Tupras Stadium. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Beşiktaş are 1st, leading the league, on 10 points after 4 matches; Rizespor are 6th (in the drop zone) with 4.
Current form
Rizespor, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kasımpaşa, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Beşiktaş 2.3 xG, Rizespor 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Beşiktaş 66%, draw 20%, Rizespor 14%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Beşiktaş to win (66%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beşiktaş 2–0 Rizespor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Beşiktaş66%fair 1.51 · @1.46
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @4.65
Rizespor14%fair 7.13 · @6.00
3.30Expected goals
2.31Beşiktaş xG
0.99Rizespor xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Beşiktaş 2.3 – 1.0 Rizespor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beşiktaş to win✓
66%
1.51
1.46
Double chance
Beşiktaş or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.60
Draw no bet
Beşiktaş (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Beşiktaş -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
First team to score
Beşiktaş to score first✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Beşiktaş ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beşiktaş / FT Beşiktaş✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Beşiktaş – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Göztepe
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Başakşehir
3–2
W
3.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Rizespor – last 3
WWD
28 Feb
@ Kasımpaşa
3–0
W
20 Feb
vs Kocaelispor
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Genclerbirligi
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beşiktaş and Rizespor.
Our pick is Beşiktaş to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Rizespor?
On our numbers Beşiktaş have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rizespor 14%.
How many goals will there be in Beşiktaş vs Rizespor?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beşiktaş vs Rizespor?
Our predicted score is Beşiktaş 2–0 Rizespor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Beşiktaş vs Rizespor?
Beşiktaş vs Rizespor (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Tupras Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
