Erzurumspor FK 51%Draw 25%Keçiörengücü 23%Expected goals 1.80 – 1.38
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultErzurumspor FK to win ✓51% · @1.73
Double chanceErzurumspor FK or draw ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77
Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Keçiörengücü travel to face Erzurumspor FK on Wednesday 4 March in the Cup – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Erzurumspor FK are 3rd on 6 points after 4 matches; Keçiörengücü are 8th with 3. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Erzurumspor FK, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Van Spor Kulübü, away. 4.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Feb 2026) it ended Keçiörengücü 1–2 Erzurum BB.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Erzurumspor FK 1.8 xG, Keçiörengücü 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Erzurumspor FK 51%, draw 25%, Keçiörengücü 23%.
Lower-risk option: Erzurumspor FK or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Erzurumspor FK 1–1 Keçiörengücü. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Erzurumspor FK51%fair 1.95 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.90
Keçiörengücü23%fair 4.27 · @4.30
3.18Expected goals
1.80Erzurumspor FK xG
1.38Keçiörengücü xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Erzurumspor FK 1.8 – 1.4 Keçiörengücü expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü?
On our numbers Erzurumspor FK have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Keçiörengücü 23%.
How many goals will there be in Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü?
Our predicted score is Erzurumspor FK 1–1 Keçiörengücü, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü?
Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
