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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Brazil v Morocco: numbers & prediction

World Cup · World · MetLife Stadium

Brazil

WWWL
1–1
FT
Brazil 53%Draw 25%Morocco 22% Expected goals 1.63 – 1.10
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBrazil to win ✗53% · @1.69
Double chanceBrazil or draw ✓78% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50

Brazil vs Morocco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Morocco travel to face Brazil on Saturday 13 June in the World Cup, with MetLife Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.

Current form

Brazil, last 4: WWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Egypt, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.

Morocco, last 4: DWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Norway, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Brazil 1.6 xG, Morocco 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Brazil 53%, draw 25%, Morocco 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Brazil or draw (78%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brazil 1–1 Morocco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Brazil53%fair 1.87 · @1.69
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.65
Morocco22%fair 4.63 · @5.20
2.73Expected goals
1.63Brazil xG
1.10Morocco xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Brazil 1.6 – 1.1 Morocco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBrazil to win ✗53%1.871.69
Double chanceBrazil or draw ✓78%1.281.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.732.00 ▲
Draw no betBrazil (draw no bet)71%1.40–
Asian handicapMorocco +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.08
First team to scoreBrazil to score first56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Brazil / FT Brazil ✗30%3.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.50–

Recent results

Brazil – last 4

WWWL
6 Junvs Egypt2–1W
31 Mayvs Panama6–2W
1 Aprvs Croatia3–1W
26 Marvs France1–2L
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Morocco – last 4

DWWD
7 Junvs Norway1–1D
2 Junvs Madagascar4–0W
31 Marvs Paraguay2–1W
27 Marvs Ecuador1–1D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Brazil and Morocco.

Brazil vs Morocco head-to-head page →

More World Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brazil vs Morocco?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Brazil vs Morocco?

On our numbers Brazil have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Morocco 22%.

How many goals will there be in Brazil vs Morocco?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Brazil vs Morocco?

Our predicted score is Brazil 1–1 Morocco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Brazil vs Morocco?

Brazil vs Morocco (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at MetLife Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.