Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.90 – our chance 53% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +52%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGermany to win ✓78% · @1.03
Double chanceGermany or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.90
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Germany vs Curaçao: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 14 June: Germany v Curaçao in the World Cup, played at NRG Stadium.
Current form
Germany, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over USA, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Curaçao, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Aruba, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Germany, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.8 for Curaçao.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Germany 2.8 xG, Curaçao 1.1 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Germany 78%, draw 13%, Curaçao 9%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (59%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Germany 3–1 Curaçao. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Germany78%fair 1.28 · @1.03
Draw13%fair 7.92 · @17.00
Curaçao9%fair 10.68 · @32.00
3.84Expected goals
2.77Germany xG
1.07Curaçao xG
53%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–08%
1–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Germany 2.8 – 1.1 Curaçao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Germany to win✓
78%
1.28
1.03
Double chance
Germany or draw✓
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Germany (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Germany -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.73
First team to score
Germany to score first
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Germany ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Germany / FT Germany✓
50%
2.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
Germany – last 4
WWWW
6 Jun
@ USA
2–1
W
31 May
vs Finland
4–0
W
30 Mar
vs Ghana
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ Switzerland
4–3
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Curaçao – last 4
WLLL
7 Jun
vs Aruba
4–0
W
30 May
@ Scotland
1–4
L
31 Mar
@ Australia
1–5
L
27 Mar
@ China
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Germany and Curaçao.
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Germany vs Curaçao?
On our numbers Germany have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Curaçao 9%.
How many goals will there be in Germany vs Curaçao?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Germany vs Curaçao?
Our predicted score is Germany 3–1 Curaçao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Germany vs Curaçao?
Germany vs Curaçao (World Cup) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at NRG Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Haiti0
Scotland1
Australia2
Türkiye0
Netherlands2
Japan2