Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗37% · @3.20
Double chanceGhana or draw ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.71
Ghana vs Panama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ghana welcome Panama to BMO Field for a World Cup fixture on Thursday 18 June (00:00 WAT).
Current form
Ghana, last 4: DLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Wales, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Panama, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bosnia & Herzegovina, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Panama, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.3 for Ghana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ghana 1.3 xG, Panama 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ghana 35%, draw 37%, Panama 27%.
Lower-risk option: Ghana or draw (73%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ghana 1–1 Panama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ghana35%fair 2.84 · @2.24
Draw37%fair 2.67 · @3.20
Panama27%fair 3.65 · @3.35
2.43Expected goals
1.27Ghana xG
1.16Panama xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ghana 1.3 – 1.2 Panama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
37%
2.67
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Ghana or draw✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Ghana (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Panama +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.06
First team to score
Ghana to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ghana / FT Ghana✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.71
–
Recent results
Ghana – last 4
DLLL
2 Jun
@ Wales
1–1
D
23 May
@ Mexico
0–2
L
30 Mar
@ Germany
1–2
L
27 Mar
@ Austria
1–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Panama – last 5
DWLWD
6 Jun
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1–1
D
4 Jun
vs Dominican Republic
4–2
W
31 May
@ Brazil
2–6
L
31 Mar
@ South Africa
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ South Africa
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ghana and Panama.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ghana vs Panama?
On our numbers Ghana have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 37% and Panama 27%.
How many goals will there be in Ghana vs Panama?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ghana vs Panama?
Our predicted score is Ghana 1–1 Panama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ghana vs Panama?
Ghana vs Panama (World Cup) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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