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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Canada v Qatar: numbers & prediction

World Cup · World · BC Place

Canada

DDWD
6–0
FT

Qatar

DDL
Canada 64%Draw 23%Qatar 14% Expected goals 1.56 – 0.66
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCanada to win ✓64% · @1.27
Double chanceCanada or draw ✓86% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46

Canada vs Qatar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Canada welcome Qatar to BC Place for a World Cup fixture on Thursday 18 June (23:00 WAT).

Current form

Canada, last 4: DDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bosnia & Herzegovina, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Qatar, last 3: DDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Switzerland, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Canada, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Qatar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Canada 1.6 xG, Qatar 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Canada 64%, draw 23%, Qatar 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.42 – longer than our fair 1.35, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Canada 1–0 Qatar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Canada64%fair 1.57 · @1.27
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @5.25
Qatar14%fair 7.38 · @10.75
2.22Expected goals
1.56Canada xG
0.66Qatar xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Canada 1.6 – 0.7 Qatar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCanada to win ✓64%1.571.27
Double chanceCanada or draw ✓86%1.161.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.962.20 ▲
Draw no betCanada (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapQatar +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.872.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.351.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.151.15
First team to scoreCanada to score first ✓63%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Canada / FT Canada ✓36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.46–

Recent results

Canada – last 4

DDWD
12 Junvs Bosnia & Herzegovina1–1D
6 Junvs Rep. Of Ireland1–1D
2 Junvs Uzbekistan2–0W
1 Aprvs Tunisia0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Qatar – last 3

DDL
13 Junvs Switzerland1–1D
6 Junvs El Salvador0–0D
28 May@ Rep. Of Ireland0–1L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Canada and Qatar.

Canada vs Qatar head-to-head page →

More World Cup predictions

FT Ghana1 Panama0 135%2.24X37%3.20227%3.35 1.3–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Uzbekistan1 Colombia3 117%9.20X23%4.50260%1.37 1.0–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓
FT Czechia1 South Africa1 144%1.77X25%3.65231%4.35 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Switzerland4 Bosnia & Herzegovina1 161%1.54X22%3.90217%6.00 1.7–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Canada vs Qatar?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Canada vs Qatar?

On our numbers Canada have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Qatar 14%.

How many goals will there be in Canada vs Qatar?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Canada vs Qatar?

Our predicted score is Canada 1–0 Qatar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Canada vs Qatar?

Canada vs Qatar (World Cup) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at BC Place.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.