Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMorocco to win ✓54% · @1.76
Double chanceMorocco or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.01
Scotland vs Morocco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Morocco travel to face Scotland on Friday 19 June in the World Cup, with Gillette Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.
Current form
Scotland, last 4: WWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Haiti, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Morocco, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Brazil, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Scotland 0.8 xG, Morocco 1.3 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Scotland 20%, draw 26%, Morocco 54%.
Lower-risk option: Morocco or draw (80%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Scotland 0–1 Morocco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Scotland20%fair 4.96 · @4.80
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.40
Morocco54%fair 1.86 · @1.76
2.09Expected goals
0.76Scotland xG
1.34Morocco xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
1–112%
0–012%
0–211%
1–09%
1–28%
From our goals model: Scotland 0.8 – 1.3 Morocco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Morocco to win✓
54%
1.86
1.76
Double chance
Morocco or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Morocco (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Scotland +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
1.06
First team to score
Morocco to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Morocco / FT Morocco✓
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.01
–
Recent results
Scotland – last 4
WWWL
14 Jun
@ Haiti
1–0
W
6 Jun
@ Bolivia
4–0
W
30 May
vs Curaçao
4–1
W
31 Mar
vs Ivory Coast
0–1
L
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Morocco – last 5
DDWWD
13 Jun
@ Brazil
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Norway
1–1
D
2 Jun
vs Madagascar
4–0
W
31 Mar
vs Paraguay
2–1
W
27 Mar
vs Ecuador
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Scotland and Morocco.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Scotland vs Morocco?
On our numbers Scotland have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Morocco 54%.
How many goals will there be in Scotland vs Morocco?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Scotland vs Morocco?
Our predicted score is Scotland 0–1 Morocco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Scotland vs Morocco?
Scotland vs Morocco (World Cup) kicks off on Friday 19 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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