Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEgypt to win ✓56% · @1.60
Double chanceEgypt or draw ✓79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.27
New Zealand vs Egypt: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 22 June the World Cup brings New Zealand against Egypt at BC Place. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT.
Current form
New Zealand, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Iran, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Egypt, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Belgium, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Egypt, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.8 for New Zealand.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New Zealand 1.1 xG, Egypt 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New Zealand 21%, draw 24%, Egypt 56%.
Lower-risk option: Egypt or draw (79%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: New Zealand 1–1 Egypt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New Zealand21%fair 4.87 · @5.50
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.80
Egypt56%fair 1.79 · @1.60
2.78Expected goals
1.05New Zealand xG
1.73Egypt xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: New Zealand 1.1 – 1.7 Egypt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Egypt to win✓
56%
1.79
1.60
Double chance
Egypt or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Egypt (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
New Zealand +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Egypt to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Egypt / FT Egypt✗
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
New Zealand – last 5
DLLWL
16 Jun
@ Iran
2–2
D
6 Jun
@ England
0–1
L
3 Jun
@ Haiti
0–4
L
30 Mar
vs Chile
4–1
W
27 Mar
vs Finland
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Egypt – last 5
DLWDW
15 Jun
@ Belgium
1–1
D
6 Jun
@ Brazil
1–2
L
28 May
vs Russia
1–0
W
31 Mar
@ Spain
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Saudi Arabia
4–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New Zealand and Egypt.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win New Zealand vs Egypt?
On our numbers New Zealand have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Egypt 56%.
How many goals will there be in New Zealand vs Egypt?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Zealand vs Egypt?
Our predicted score is New Zealand 1–1 Egypt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is New Zealand vs Egypt?
New Zealand vs Egypt (World Cup) kicks off on Monday 22 June 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at BC Place.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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