Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.80 – our chance 53% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +49%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFrance to win ✓80% · @1.09
Double chanceFrance or draw ✓94% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.30
France vs Iraq: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
France welcome Iraq to Lincoln Financial Field for a World Cup fixture on Monday 22 June (22:00 WAT).
Current form
France, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Senegal, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.4 goals per game.
Iraq, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Norway, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Momentum favours France, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.4 for Iraq.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give France 3.0 xG, Iraq 0.8 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – France 80%, draw 14%, Iraq 6%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: France 3–0 Iraq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
France80%fair 1.25 · @1.09
Draw14%fair 7.29 · @8.75
Iraq6%fair 16.73 · @25.00
3.89Expected goals
3.05France xG
0.85Iraq xG
53%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–010%
2–09%
3–18%
2–18%
4–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: France 3.0 – 0.8 Iraq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
France to win✓
80%
1.25
1.09
Double chance
France or draw✓
94%
1.06
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.80 ▲
Draw no bet
France (draw no bet)✓
93%
1.07
–
Asian handicap
France -1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.93
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.36
First team to score
France to score first✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
France ahead at half-time✓
62%
1.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT France / FT France✓
58%
1.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.30
–
Recent results
France – last 5
WWLWW
16 Jun
vs Senegal
3–1
W
8 Jun
vs Northern Ireland
3–1
W
4 Jun
vs Ivory Coast
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Colombia
3–1
W
26 Mar
@ Brazil
2–1
W
2.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Iraq – last 5
LLDWW
16 Jun
vs Norway
1–4
L
10 Jun
vs Venezuela
0–2
L
4 Jun
@ Spain
1–1
D
29 May
vs Andorra
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs Bolivia
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between France and Iraq.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win France vs Iraq?
On our numbers France have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Iraq 6%.
How many goals will there be in France vs Iraq?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for France vs Iraq?
Our predicted score is France 3–0 Iraq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is France vs Iraq?
France vs Iraq (World Cup) kicks off on Monday 22 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Lincoln Financial Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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