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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Morocco v Haiti: numbers & prediction

World Cup · World · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Morocco

WDDWW
4–2
FT

Haiti

LLLWD
Morocco 72%Draw 18%Haiti 10% Expected goals 1.94 – 0.70
66%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultMorocco to win ✓72% · @1.17
Double chanceMorocco or draw ✓90% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.53

Morocco vs Haiti: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Wednesday 24 June: Morocco v Haiti in the World Cup, played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Current form

Morocco, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Scotland, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Haiti, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Brazil, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Morocco, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Haiti.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Morocco 1.9 xG, Haiti 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Morocco 72%, draw 18%, Haiti 10%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Morocco 1–0 Haiti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Morocco72%fair 1.40 · @1.17
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @6.75
Haiti10%fair 9.93 · @15.00
2.64Expected goals
1.94Morocco xG
0.70Haiti xG
49%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: Morocco 1.9 – 0.7 Haiti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMorocco to win ✓72%1.401.17
Double chanceMorocco or draw ✓90%1.111.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.971.55
Draw no betMorocco (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapMorocco -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.521.60 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.221.22
First team to scoreMorocco to score first68%1.47–
Half-time resultMorocco ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Morocco / FT Morocco ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9%11.53–

Recent results

Morocco – last 6

WDDWWD
19 Jun@ Scotland1–0W
13 Jun@ Brazil1–1D
7 Junvs Norway1–1D
2 Junvs Madagascar4–0W
31 Marvs Paraguay2–1W
27 Marvs Ecuador1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Haiti – last 6

LLLWDL
20 Jun@ Brazil0–3L
14 Junvs Scotland0–1L
6 Junvs Peru1–2L
3 Junvs New Zealand4–0W
31 Marvs Iceland1–1D
29 Marvs Tunisia0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Morocco and Haiti.

Morocco vs Haiti head-to-head page →

More World Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Morocco vs Haiti?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Morocco vs Haiti?

On our numbers Morocco have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Haiti 10%.

How many goals will there be in Morocco vs Haiti?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Morocco vs Haiti?

Our predicted score is Morocco 1–0 Haiti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Morocco vs Haiti?

Morocco vs Haiti (World Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 24 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.