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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Colombia v Congo DR: numbers & prediction

World Cup · World · Estadio Akron

Colombia

WWLL
1–0
FT

Congo DR

DLDD
Colombia 55%Draw 26%Congo DR 19% Expected goals 1.50 – 0.89
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultColombia to win ✓55% · @1.53
Double chanceColombia or draw ✓81% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.89

Colombia vs Congo DR: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Colombia welcome Congo DR to Estadio Akron for a World Cup fixture on Wednesday 24 June (03:00 WAT).

Current form

Colombia, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Uzbekistan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Congo DR, last 4: DLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Portugal, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Colombia, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Congo DR.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Colombia 1.5 xG, Congo DR 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Colombia 55%, draw 26%, Congo DR 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colombia 1–0 Congo DR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Colombia55%fair 1.82 · @1.53
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.85
Congo DR19%fair 5.18 · @6.40
2.39Expected goals
1.50Colombia xG
0.89Congo DR xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Colombia 1.5 – 0.9 Congo DR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColombia to win ✓55%1.821.53
Double chanceColombia or draw ✓81%1.241.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.852.15 ▲
Draw no betColombia (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapCongo DR +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.451.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.07
First team to scoreColombia to score first ✓57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colombia / FT Colombia ✗31%3.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.89–

Recent results

Colombia – last 4

WWLL
18 Jun@ Uzbekistan3–1W
8 Junvs Jordan2–0W
29 Marvs France1–3L
27 Marvs Croatia1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Congo DR – last 4

DLDD
17 Jun@ Portugal1–1D
9 Junvs Chile1–2L
3 Junvs Denmark0–0D
31 Marvs Jamaica0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Colombia and Congo DR.

Colombia vs Congo DR head-to-head page →

More World Cup predictions

FT Panama0 Croatia1 125%6.40X23%4.10252%1.50 1.5–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✗
FT Switzerland2 Canada1 144%2.26X28%3.05228%3.35 1.7–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.35 ✓
FT Bosnia & Herzegovina3 Qatar1 160%1.41X25%4.45216%7.40 1.9–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.55 ✗
FT Morocco4 Haiti2 172%1.17X18%6.75210%15.00 1.9–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.60 ✗
FT Scotland0 Brazil3 115%8.30X22%4.55264%1.37 0.8–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.35 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Colombia vs Congo DR?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Colombia vs Congo DR?

On our numbers Colombia have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Congo DR 19%.

How many goals will there be in Colombia vs Congo DR?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Colombia vs Congo DR?

Our predicted score is Colombia 1–0 Congo DR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Colombia vs Congo DR?

Colombia vs Congo DR (World Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 24 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.