Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSouth Korea to win ✗48% · @1.63
Double chanceSouth Korea or draw ✗74% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.68
South Africa vs South Korea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Thursday 25 June: South Africa v South Korea in the World Cup, played at Estadio BBVA.
Current form
South Africa, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Czechia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
South Korea, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mexico, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours South Korea, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.6 for South Africa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give South Africa 1.1 xG, South Korea 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – South Africa 26%, draw 26%, South Korea 48%.
Lower-risk option: South Korea or draw (74%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Africa 1–1 South Korea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
South Africa26%fair 3.92 · @5.20
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.75
South Korea48%fair 2.08 · @1.63
2.27Expected goals
1.09South Africa xG
1.19South Korea xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: South Africa 1.1 – 1.2 South Korea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Korea to win✗
48%
2.08
1.63
Double chance
South Korea or draw✗
74%
1.34
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
South Korea (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
South Africa +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.09
First team to score
South Korea to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Korea / FT South Korea✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.68
–
Recent results
South Africa – last 5
DLDLD
18 Jun
@ Czechia
1–1
D
11 Jun
@ Mexico
0–2
L
29 May
vs Nicaragua
0–0
D
31 Mar
vs Panama
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Panama
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
South Korea – last 5
LWWWL
19 Jun
@ Mexico
0–1
L
12 Jun
vs Czech Republic
2–1
W
4 Jun
vs El Salvador
1–0
W
31 May
vs Trinidad and Tobago
5–0
W
31 Mar
@ Austria
0–1
L
1.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Africa and South Korea.
What is the prediction for South Africa vs South Korea?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win South Africa vs South Korea?
On our numbers South Africa have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and South Korea 48%.
How many goals will there be in South Africa vs South Korea?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Africa vs South Korea?
Our predicted score is South Africa 1–1 South Korea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is South Africa vs South Korea?
South Africa vs South Korea (World Cup) kicks off on Thursday 25 June 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Czechia0
Mexico3
Curaçao0
Ivory Coast2
Ecuador2
Germany1