Ecuador vs Germany: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 25 June the World Cup brings Ecuador against Germany at MetLife Stadium. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT.
Current form
Ecuador, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Curaçao, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Germany, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ivory Coast, at home. The attack is flying at 3.5 goals per game.
Momentum favours Germany, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for Ecuador.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ecuador 1.1 xG, Germany 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ecuador 24%, draw 23%, Germany 52%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ecuador 1–1 Germany. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ecuador24%fair 4.09 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.90
Germany52%fair 1.92 · @1.87
2.64Expected goals
1.05Ecuador xG
1.59Germany xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ecuador 1.1 – 1.6 Germany expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Germany to win✗
52%
1.92
1.87
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Draw no bet
Germany (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Ecuador +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.15
First team to score
Germany to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Germany / FT Germany✗
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Ecuador – last 6
DLWWDD
21 Jun
vs Curaçao
0–0
D
15 Jun
@ Ivory Coast
0–1
L
7 Jun
vs Guatemala
3–0
W
31 May
vs Saudi Arabia
2–1
W
31 Mar
@ Netherlands
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Morocco
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Germany – last 6
WWWWWW
20 Jun
vs Ivory Coast
2–1
W
14 Jun
vs Curaçao
7–1
W
6 Jun
@ USA
2–1
W
31 May
vs Finland
4–0
W
30 Mar
vs Ghana
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ Switzerland
4–3
W
3.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ecuador and Germany.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ecuador vs Germany?
On our numbers Ecuador have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Germany 52%.
How many goals will there be in Ecuador vs Germany?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ecuador vs Germany?
Our predicted score is Ecuador 1–1 Germany, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ecuador vs Germany?
Ecuador vs Germany (World Cup) kicks off on Thursday 25 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at MetLife Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Africa1
South Korea0
Czechia0
Mexico3
Curaçao0
Ivory Coast2