Value bet: Atlanta United FC to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSan Jose Earthquakes to win ✓45% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
San Jose Earthquakes vs Atlanta United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlanta United FC travel to face San Jose Earthquakes on Sunday 1 March in the Major League Soccer, with PayPal Park the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, San Jose Earthquakes are 4th, among the top four, on 52 points after 34 matches; Atlanta United FC are 13th (in the drop zone) with 33. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Jose Earthquakes 1.6 xG, Atlanta United FC 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Jose Earthquakes 45%, draw 24%, Atlanta United FC 31%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Atlanta United FC to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Atlanta United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Jose Earthquakes45%fair 2.20 · @1.97
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.55
Atlanta United FC31%fair 3.27 · @3.60
2.86Expected goals
1.61San Jose Earthquakes xG
1.25Atlanta United FC xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: San Jose Earthquakes 1.6 – 1.3 Atlanta United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Jose Earthquakes to win✓
45%
2.20
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.55
Draw no bet
San Jose Earthquakes (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Atlanta United FC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
First team to score
San Jose Earthquakes to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Jose Earthquakes / FT San Jose Earthquakes✓
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
San Jose Earthquakes – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Sporting Kansas City
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Atlanta United FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Jose Earthquakes and Atlanta United FC.
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Atlanta United FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Atlanta United FC?
On our numbers San Jose Earthquakes have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atlanta United FC 31%.
How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs Atlanta United FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Atlanta United FC?
Our predicted score is San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Atlanta United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is San Jose Earthquakes vs Atlanta United FC?
San Jose Earthquakes vs Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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