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Toronto FC v Columbus Crew: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · BMO Field
Sat 21 Mar 2026
Toronto FC 33%Draw 24%Columbus Crew 43% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.65
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Columbus Crew to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultColumbus Crew to win43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.90

Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Columbus Crew travel to face Toronto FC on Saturday 21 March in the Major League Soccer, with BMO Field the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Toronto FC are 12th, lower half, on 39 points after 34 matches; Columbus Crew are 7th (upper half) with 47.

Current form

Toronto FC, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Cincinnati, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Columbus Crew, last 4: LDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nashville SC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Toronto FC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Columbus Crew.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Toronto FC 1.3 xG, Columbus Crew 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Toronto FC 33%, draw 24%, Columbus Crew 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Columbus Crew to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toronto FC 1–1 Columbus Crew. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Toronto FC33%fair 3.01 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.50
Columbus Crew43%fair 2.31 · @2.50
2.99Expected goals
1.34Toronto FC xG
1.65Columbus Crew xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%

From our goals model: Toronto FC 1.3 – 1.7 Columbus Crew expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColumbus Crew to win43%2.312.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score63%1.581.57
Draw no betColumbus Crew (draw no bet)57%1.77–
Asian handicapToronto FC +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals56%1.771.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals66%1.521.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals81%1.231.17
First team to scoreColumbus Crew to score first52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time40%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT Columbus Crew / FT Columbus Crew27%3.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.90–

Recent results

Toronto FC – last 4

WLLW
9 Mar@ FC Cincinnati1–0W
1 Mar@ Vancouver Whitecaps0–3L
22 Feb@ FC Dallas2–3L
14 Febvs Polessya2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Columbus Crew – last 4

LDDL
14 Marvs Nashville SC0–1L
8 Marvs Chicago Fire0–0D
1 Mar@ Sporting Kansas City2–2D
22 Feb@ Portland Timbers2–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Toronto FC and Columbus Crew.

Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?

On our numbers Toronto FC have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Columbus Crew 43%.

How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?

Our predicted score is Toronto FC 1–1 Columbus Crew, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?

Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.