Philadelphia Union 46%Draw 24%Chicago Fire 30%Expected goals 1.73 – 1.24
77%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win46% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.50
Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Philadelphia Union welcome Chicago Fire to Subaru Park for a Major League Soccer fixture on Saturday 21 March (21:30 WAT). In the table, Philadelphia Union are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 34 matches; Chicago Fire are 4th (among the top four) with 55.
Current form
Philadelphia Union, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club America, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Chicago Fire, last 4: LDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Orlando City II, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Philadelphia Union, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Chicago Fire.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Philadelphia Union 1.7 xG, Chicago Fire 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Philadelphia Union 46%, draw 24%, Chicago Fire 30%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Philadelphia Union 1–1 Chicago Fire. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Philadelphia Union46%fair 2.16 · @2.28
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.30
Chicago Fire30%fair 3.34 · @3.05
2.98Expected goals
1.73Philadelphia Union xG
1.24Chicago Fire xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 1.7 – 1.2 Chicago Fire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win
46%
2.16
2.28 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
63%
1.58
1.60
Draw no bet
Philadelphia Union (draw no bet)
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Chicago Fire +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.21
1.14
First team to score
Philadelphia Union to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Philadelphia Union – last 6
DLLWLW
19 Mar
@ Club America
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Club America
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Defence Force
7–0
W
22 Feb
@ DC United
0–1
L
19 Feb
@ Defence Force
5–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chicago Fire – last 4
LDDL
9 Mar
@ Orlando City II
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Columbus Crew
0–0
D
28 Feb
@ Inter Miami II
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Houston Dynamo
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chicago Fire 30%.
How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 1–1 Chicago Fire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
