CF Montreal 42%Draw 23%Toronto FC 34%Expected goals 1.64 – 1.60
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Toronto FC to win @ 3.35 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCF Montreal to win ✗42% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.85
CF Montreal vs Toronto FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CF Montreal welcome Toronto FC to Saputo Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Friday 17 July (00:30 WAT). In the table, CF Montreal are 15th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 34 matches; Toronto FC are 12th (lower half) with 39. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CF Montreal, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vancouver FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Toronto FC, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chicago Fire, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours CF Montreal, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Toronto FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CF Montreal 1.6 xG, Toronto FC 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CF Montreal 42%, draw 23%, Toronto FC 34%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Toronto FC to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: CF Montreal 1–1 Toronto FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CF Montreal42%fair 2.36 · @1.97
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.80
Toronto FC34%fair 2.90 · @3.35
3.24Expected goals
1.64CF Montreal xG
1.60Toronto FC xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: CF Montreal 1.6 – 1.6 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Montreal to win✗
42%
2.36
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.55
Draw no bet
CF Montreal (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Toronto FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
First team to score
CF Montreal to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Montreal / FT CF Montreal✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.85
–
Recent results
CF Montreal – last 6
WWDDWL
13 Jul
vs Vancouver FC
2–1
W
9 Jul
@ Vancouver FC
2–1
W
24 May
@ DC United
4–4
D
14 May
vs Portland Timbers
2–2
D
7 May
vs Calgary Blizzard SC
5–0
W
3 May
@ Atlanta United FC
1–3
L
2.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Toronto FC – last 6
LLLDWL
24 May
@ Chicago Fire
1–2
L
17 May
@ Charlotte
1–3
L
6 May
vs Atlético Ottawa
1–3
L
23 Apr
vs Philadelphia Union
3–3
D
9 Mar
@ FC Cincinnati
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CF Montreal and Toronto FC.
What is the prediction for CF Montreal vs Toronto FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win CF Montreal vs Toronto FC?
On our numbers CF Montreal have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Toronto FC 34%.
How many goals will there be in CF Montreal vs Toronto FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Montreal vs Toronto FC?
Our predicted score is CF Montreal 1–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is CF Montreal vs Toronto FC?
CF Montreal vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Saputo Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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