St. Louis City 68%Draw 19%Sporting Kansas City 13%Expected goals 2.46 – 0.99
68%
Betarazi pick
St. Louis City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.43Odds
Picks by market
ResultSt. Louis City to win ✓68% · @1.43
Double chanceSt. Louis City or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
St. Louis City welcome Sporting Kansas City to Energizer Park for a Major League Soccer fixture on Friday 17 July (01:30 WAT). In the table, St. Louis City are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 34 matches; Sporting Kansas City are 15th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
St. Louis City, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with DC United, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Sporting Kansas City, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to New York Red Bulls, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours St. Louis City, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Sporting Kansas City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St. Louis City 2.5 xG, Sporting Kansas City 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St. Louis City 68%, draw 19%, Sporting Kansas City 13%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was St. Louis City to win (68%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Louis City 2–0 Sporting Kansas City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St. Louis City68%fair 1.47 · @1.43
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @4.85
Sporting Kansas City13%fair 7.81 · @6.20
3.45Expected goals
2.46St. Louis City xG
0.99Sporting Kansas City xG
61%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
3–08%
1–08%
3–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: St. Louis City 2.5 – 1.0 Sporting Kansas City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Louis City to win✓
68%
1.47
1.43
Double chance
St. Louis City or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Draw no bet
St. Louis City (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
St. Louis City -1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.33
First team to score
St. Louis City to score first
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
St. Louis City ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Louis City / FT St. Louis City✓
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
St. Louis City – last 6
DWWWLL
17 May
@ DC United
1–1
D
14 May
vs Los Angeles FC
2–1
W
10 May
@ Colorado Rapids
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs San Jose Earthquakes
2–3
L
19 Apr
@ Seattle Sounders
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sporting Kansas City – last 6
LWWLLL
24 May
vs New York Red Bulls
1–2
L
17 May
@ Austin
2–1
W
14 May
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
3–1
W
10 May
@ Portland Timbers
0–6
L
26 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
0–5
L
18 Apr
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Louis City and Sporting Kansas City.
What is the prediction for St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our pick is St. Louis City to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City?
On our numbers St. Louis City have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sporting Kansas City 13%.
How many goals will there be in St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City?
Our predicted score is St. Louis City 2–0 Sporting Kansas City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City?
St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Energizer Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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