Chicago Fire 59%Draw 24%New York City FC 17%Expected goals 2.03 – 1.03
83%
Betarazi pick
Chicago Fire or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Chicago Fire to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChicago Fire to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceChicago Fire or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.05
Chicago Fire vs New York City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chicago Fire welcome New York City FC to Soldier Field for a Major League Soccer fixture on Saturday 10 October (19:30 WAT). In the table, Chicago Fire are 4th, among the top four, on 55 points after 34 matches; New York City FC are 11th (lower half) with 42. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chicago Fire, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Vancouver Whitecaps, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
New York City FC, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Atlanta United FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended New York City FC 3–1 Chicago Fire.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chicago Fire 2.0 xG, New York City FC 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chicago Fire 59%, draw 24%, New York City FC 17%.
Lower-risk option: Chicago Fire or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Chicago Fire to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chicago Fire or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chicago Fire 2–1 New York City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chicago Fire59%fair 1.70 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.60
New York City FC17%fair 5.86 · @3.70
3.06Expected goals
2.03Chicago Fire xG
1.03New York City FC xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Chicago Fire 2.0 – 1.0 New York City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs New York City FC?
Our pick is Chicago Fire or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chicago Fire vs New York City FC?
On our numbers Chicago Fire have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and New York City FC 17%.
How many goals will there be in Chicago Fire vs New York City FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs New York City FC?
Our predicted score is Chicago Fire 2–1 New York City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Chicago Fire vs New York City FC?
Chicago Fire vs New York City FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Soldier Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
