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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Toronto FC v CF Montreal: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · BMO Field
2–1
FT
Toronto FC 62%Draw 17%CF Montreal 20% Expected goals 2.16 – 1.14
62%
Betarazi pick

Toronto FC to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultToronto FC to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.19

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CF Montreal travel to face Toronto FC on Saturday 10 October in the Major League Soccer, with BMO Field the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Toronto FC are 12th, lower half, on 39 points after 34 matches; CF Montreal are 15th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Toronto FC, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Nashville SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

CF Montreal, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FC Cincinnati, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Jul 2026) it ended CF Montreal 0–0 Toronto FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Toronto FC 2.2 xG, CF Montreal 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Toronto FC 62%, draw 17%, CF Montreal 20%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Toronto FC to win (62%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toronto FC 2–1 CF Montreal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Toronto FC62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
Draw17%fair 5.76 · @3.60
CF Montreal20%fair 4.89 · @3.50
3.30Expected goals
2.16Toronto FC xG
1.14CF Montreal xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Toronto FC 2.2 – 1.1 CF Montreal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultToronto FC to win ✓62%1.611.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.211.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.631.50
Draw no betToronto FC (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapToronto FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
First team to scoreToronto FC to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultToronto FC ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Toronto FC / FT Toronto FC ✗39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.19–

Recent results

Toronto FC – last 6

LLLWDD
27 Sep@ Nashville SC0–2L
20 Sep@ St. Louis City1–3L
13 Sep@ Orlando City SC0–3L
10 Sepvs Nashville SC2–1W
6 Sepvs Chicago Fire4–4D
30 Augvs New York City FC1–1D
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

CF Montreal – last 6

WLWLLL
27 Sepvs FC Cincinnati3–1W
20 Sepvs Columbus Crew0–2L
17 Sepvs Vancouver Whitecaps2–1W
13 Sep@ Colorado Rapids0–1L
10 Sepvs Charlotte1–2L
6 Sep@ Philadelphia Union0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Jul 2026CF Montreal v Toronto FC0–0
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?

Our pick is Toronto FC to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?

On our numbers Toronto FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and CF Montreal 20%.

How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?

Our predicted score is Toronto FC 2–1 CF Montreal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.