Philadelphia Union 63%Draw 20%Charlotte 18%Expected goals 2.29 – 1.14
63%
Betarazi pick
Philadelphia Union to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✗63% · @1.50
Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Philadelphia Union v Charlotte in the Major League Soccer, played at Subaru Park. In the table, Philadelphia Union are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 34 matches; Charlotte are 5th (upper half) with 54.
Current form
Philadelphia Union, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Chicago Fire, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.8 a game lately.
Charlotte, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Columbus Crew, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Philadelphia Union, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Charlotte.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Charlotte 2–1 Philadelphia Union.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Philadelphia Union 2.3 xG, Charlotte 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Philadelphia Union 63%, draw 20%, Charlotte 18%.
Lower-risk option: Philadelphia Union or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Philadelphia Union to win (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Philadelphia Union 2–1 Charlotte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Philadelphia Union63%fair 1.59 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @4.50
Charlotte18%fair 5.68 · @5.00
3.43Expected goals
2.29Philadelphia Union xG
1.14Charlotte xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 2.3 – 1.1 Charlotte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
Our pick is Philadelphia Union to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Charlotte 18%.
How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 2–1 Charlotte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Minnesota United FC3
St. Louis City2