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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Minnesota United FC v St. Louis City: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Allianz Field
Minnesota United FC 38%Draw 20%St. Louis City 42% Expected goals 1.58 – 1.68
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultSt. Louis City to win ✗42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.69

Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the Major League Soccer brings Minnesota United FC against St. Louis City at Allianz Field. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, Minnesota United FC are 10th, lower half, on 44 points after 34 matches; St. Louis City are 3rd (among the top four) with 54.

Current form

Minnesota United FC, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Colorado Rapids, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

St. Louis City, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vancouver Whitecaps, at home. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours St. Louis City, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.3 for Minnesota United FC.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Sep 2026) it ended St. Louis City 4–2 Minnesota United FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Minnesota United FC 1.6 xG, St. Louis City 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Minnesota United FC 38%, draw 20%, St. Louis City 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Minnesota United FC 1–1 St. Louis City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Minnesota United FC38%fair 2.64 · @2.30
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
St. Louis City42%fair 2.38 · @2.50
3.26Expected goals
1.58Minnesota United FC xG
1.68St. Louis City xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Minnesota United FC 1.6 – 1.7 St. Louis City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt. Louis City to win ✗42%2.382.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.44
Draw no betSt. Louis City (draw no bet) ✗53%1.90–
Asian handicapMinnesota United FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.70–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
First team to scoreSt. Louis City to score first ✓50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.65–
Half-time / full-timeHT St. Louis City / FT St. Louis City ✗24%4.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.69–

Recent results

Minnesota United FC – last 6

DDLLLL
15 Oct@ Colorado Rapids2–2D
11 Octvs Houston Dynamo2–2D
27 Sep@ Seattle Sounders1–3L
20 Sepvs Los Angeles Galaxy2–3L
13 Sep@ St. Louis City2–4L
10 Sepvs FC Dallas1–2L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

St. Louis City – last 6

DWWWWW
15 Octvs Vancouver Whitecaps0–0D
12 Octvs Los Angeles Galaxy6–2W
1 Oct@ New York Red Bulls3–0W
20 Sepvs Toronto FC3–1W
17 Sep@ Colorado Rapids3–0W
13 Sepvs Minnesota United FC4–2W
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Sep 2026St. Louis City v Minnesota United FC4–2
Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City?

On our numbers Minnesota United FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and St. Louis City 42%.

How many goals will there be in Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City?

Our predicted score is Minnesota United FC 1–1 St. Louis City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City?

Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.