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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Toronto FC v DC United: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · BMO Field
2–1
FT
Toronto FC 57%Draw 20%DC United 23% Expected goals 2.01 – 1.22
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: Toronto FC to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultToronto FC to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.25

Toronto FC vs DC United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 29 October the Major League Soccer brings Toronto FC against DC United at BMO Field. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Toronto FC are 12th, lower half, on 39 points after 34 matches; DC United are 14th (in the drop zone) with 33.

Current form

Toronto FC, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Columbus Crew, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

DC United, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Cincinnati, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Toronto FC, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for DC United.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended DC United 2–1 Toronto FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Toronto FC 2.0 xG, DC United 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Toronto FC 57%, draw 20%, DC United 23%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Toronto FC to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toronto FC 2–1 DC United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Toronto FC57%fair 1.77 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.60
DC United23%fair 4.28 · @3.30
3.23Expected goals
2.01Toronto FC xG
1.22DC United xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Toronto FC 2.0 – 1.2 DC United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultToronto FC to win ✓57%1.771.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.601.44
Draw no betToronto FC (draw no bet) ✓71%1.41–
Asian handicapDC United +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.68–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
First team to scoreToronto FC to score first ✗60%1.67–
Half-time resultToronto FC ahead at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Toronto FC / FT Toronto FC ✗35%2.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.25–

Recent results

Toronto FC – last 6

LWDWLL
24 Oct@ Columbus Crew2–4L
18 Oct@ New York Red Bulls2–0W
15 Octvs Orlando City SC3–3D
10 Octvs CF Montreal2–1W
27 Sep@ Nashville SC0–2L
20 Sep@ St. Louis City1–3L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

DC United – last 6

LLLWLL
25 Octvs FC Cincinnati0–2L
22 Oct@ FC Cincinnati1–2L
18 Oct@ Orlando City SC1–4L
15 Octvs New York Red Bulls2–1W
11 Oct@ Inter Miami0–4L
1 Octvs SC Paderborn 070–1L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jul 2026DC United v Toronto FC2–1
Toronto FC vs DC United head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs DC United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Toronto FC vs DC United?

On our numbers Toronto FC have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and DC United 23%.

How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs DC United?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs DC United?

Our predicted score is Toronto FC 2–1 DC United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Toronto FC vs DC United?

Toronto FC vs DC United (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.