Nashville SC 61%Draw 15%Philadelphia Union 24%Expected goals 2.06 – 1.18
61%
Betarazi pick
Nashville SC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultNashville SC to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Thursday 29 October: Nashville SC v Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer, played at Geodis Park. In the table, Nashville SC are 1st, leading the league, on 77 points after 34 matches; Philadelphia Union are 6th (upper half) with 50. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nashville SC, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over CF Montreal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Philadelphia Union, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to New England Revolution, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Nashville SC, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Philadelphia Union.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Philadelphia Union 0–0 Nashville SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nashville SC 2.1 xG, Philadelphia Union 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nashville SC 61%, draw 15%, Philadelphia Union 24%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nashville SC to win (61%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nashville SC 2–1 Philadelphia Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nashville SC61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw15%fair 6.59 · @3.60
Philadelphia Union24%fair 4.12 · @3.50
3.24Expected goals
2.06Nashville SC xG
1.18Philadelphia Union xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Nashville SC 2.1 – 1.2 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Nashville SC to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers Nashville SC have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Philadelphia Union 24%.
How many goals will there be in Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is Nashville SC 2–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Geodis Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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