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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

HNK Rijeka v HNK Hajduk Split: numbers & prediction

Cup · Croatia · Stadion HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka

WWLW
3–2
–

HNK Hajduk Split

WW
HNK Rijeka 38%Draw 27%HNK Hajduk Split 35% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.46
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.45

7/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultHNK Rijeka to win38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.59

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

HNK Hajduk Split travel to face HNK Rijeka on Wednesday 4 March in the Cup, with Stadion HNK Rijeka the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Current form

HNK Rijeka, last 4: WWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 HNK Rijeka.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give HNK Rijeka 1.3 xG, HNK Hajduk Split 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Rijeka 38%, draw 27%, HNK Hajduk Split 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.45 – longer than our fair 1.42, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Rijeka 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

HNK Rijeka38%fair 2.63 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.10
HNK Hajduk Split35%fair 2.82 · @3.20
2.79Expected goals
1.33HNK Rijeka xG
1.46HNK Hajduk Split xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 1.3 – 1.5 HNK Hajduk Split expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHNK Rijeka to win38%2.632.15
Double chanceEither team to win73%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.722.00 ▲
Draw no betHNK Rijeka (draw no bet)52%1.93–
Asian handicapHNK Rijeka +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.421.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.831.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.351.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals85%1.18–
First team to scoreHNK Hajduk Split to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT HNK Hajduk Split / FT HNK Hajduk Split24%4.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.59–

Recent results

HNK Rijeka – last 4

WWLW
1 Marvs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2–0W
26 Febvs Omonia Nicosia3–1W
22 Feb@ HNK Hajduk Split0–1L
19 Feb@ Omonia Nicosia1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

HNK Hajduk Split – last 2

WW
22 Febvs HNK Rijeka1–0W
15 Feb@ NK Osijek2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026HNK Hajduk Split v HNK Rijeka1–0
HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT NK Varazdin1 HNK Gorica3 149%2.15X25%3.20226%3.10 2.1–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.40 ✓
FT Dinamo Zagreb2 Kurilovec0 174%1.03X17%9.2529%41.00 4.8–2.2xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 78%@1.45 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?

On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and HNK Hajduk Split 35%.

How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.