Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNK Varazdin to win ✗49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
HNK Gorica travel to face NK Varazdin on Wednesday 4 March in the Cup, with Gradski stadion Varazdin the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
HNK Gorica, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NK Varazdin 2.1 xG, HNK Gorica 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NK Varazdin 49%, draw 25%, HNK Gorica 26%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.33, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: NK Varazdin 2–1 HNK Gorica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NK Varazdin49%fair 2.05 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.20
HNK Gorica26%fair 3.82 · @3.10
3.29Expected goals
2.06NK Varazdin xG
1.23HNK Gorica xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: NK Varazdin 2.1 – 1.2 HNK Gorica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NK Varazdin to win✗
49%
2.05
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
NK Varazdin (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
HNK Gorica +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
First team to score
NK Varazdin to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
NK Varazdin ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NK Varazdin / FT NK Varazdin✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
NK Varazdin – last 1
L
22 Feb
vs Dinamo Zagreb
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
HNK Gorica – last 3
LWD
1 Mar
@ Dinamo Zagreb
2–4
L
21 Feb
@ Istra 1961
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Vukovar
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NK Varazdin and HNK Gorica.
What is the prediction for NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
On our numbers NK Varazdin have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and HNK Gorica 26%.
How many goals will there be in NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
Our predicted score is NK Varazdin 2–1 HNK Gorica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Varazdin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dinamo Zagreb2
Kurilovec0
HNK Rijeka3
HNK Hajduk Split2