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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chiangrai United v Chonburi FC: numbers & prediction

Thai League 1 · Thailand · Leo Chiangrai Stadium
Chiangrai United 41%Draw 26%Chonburi FC 33% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.15
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultChiangrai United to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69

Chiangrai United vs Chonburi FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 21 February: Chiangrai United v Chonburi FC in the Thai League 1, played at Leo Chiangrai Stadium. In the table, Chiangrai United are 15th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 7 matches; Chonburi FC are 13th (lower half) with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chiangrai United 1.3 xG, Chonburi FC 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chiangrai United 41%, draw 26%, Chonburi FC 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chiangrai United 1–1 Chonburi FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chiangrai United41%fair 2.44 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.20
Chonburi FC33%fair 3.07 · @2.90
2.48Expected goals
1.34Chiangrai United xG
1.15Chonburi FC xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%

From our goals model: Chiangrai United 1.3 – 1.1 Chonburi FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChiangrai United to win ✗41%2.442.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.75
Draw no betChiangrai United (draw no bet) ✗56%1.80–
Asian handicapChonburi FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.29
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.361.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreChiangrai United to score first ✗49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chiangrai United / FT Chiangrai United ✗24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.69–

Recent results

Chiangrai United – last 1

D
15 Feb@ Rayong FC1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Chonburi FC – last 1

D
13 Febvs Uthai Thani1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chiangrai United and Chonburi FC.

Chiangrai United vs Chonburi FC head-to-head page →

Thai League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Port FC7511+716
2Bangkok United8512+716
3Ayutthaya FC8512+616
4Prachuap7511+616
5Buriram United7511+516
6Ratchaburi8413+813
7BG Pathum United8332+412
8Uthai Thani8323+211
9Lamphun Warrior8323+211
10Sisaket United8314-410
11Sukhothai FC8314-610
12Rayong FC8224-98
13Chonburi FC8215-37
14Pattani8215-67
15Chiangrai United7124-45
16Rasi Salai United8017-151

More Thai League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chiangrai United vs Chonburi FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Chiangrai United vs Chonburi FC?

On our numbers Chiangrai United have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chonburi FC 33%.

How many goals will there be in Chiangrai United vs Chonburi FC?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chiangrai United vs Chonburi FC?

Our predicted score is Chiangrai United 1–1 Chonburi FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Chiangrai United vs Chonburi FC?

Chiangrai United vs Chonburi FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Leo Chiangrai Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.