Buriram United 76%Draw 15%Sukhothai FC 8%Expected goals 2.34 – 0.64
59%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultBuriram United to win ✓76% · @1.14
Double chanceBuriram United or draw ✓92% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.58
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11% · fair 9.23
Buriram United vs Sukhothai FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the Thai League 1 brings Buriram United against Sukhothai FC at Chang Arena. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Buriram United are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 7 matches; Sukhothai FC are 11th (lower half) with 10.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Buriram United 2.3 xG, Sukhothai FC 0.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 50% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Buriram United 76%, draw 15%, Sukhothai FC 8%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.58.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (59%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buriram United 2–0 Sukhothai FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Buriram United76%fair 1.31 · @1.14
Draw15%fair 6.51 · @7.50
Sukhothai FC8%fair 12.01 · @11.50
2.98Expected goals
2.34Buriram United xG
0.64Sukhothai FC xG
50%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–012%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Buriram United 2.3 – 0.6 Sukhothai FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buriram United to win✓
76%
1.31
1.14
Double chance
Buriram United or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.58
Draw no bet
Buriram United (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Buriram United -1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.39
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.31
First team to score
Buriram United to score first✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Buriram United ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buriram United / FT Buriram United✓
51%
1.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
11%
9.23
–
Recent results
Buriram United – last 2
WW
17 Feb
vs Shanghai Shenhua
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ BG Pathum United
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sukhothai FC – last 1
D
14 Feb
vs Ayutthaya FC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buriram United and Sukhothai FC.
What is the prediction for Buriram United vs Sukhothai FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Buriram United vs Sukhothai FC?
On our numbers Buriram United have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Sukhothai FC 8%.
How many goals will there be in Buriram United vs Sukhothai FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buriram United vs Sukhothai FC?
Our predicted score is Buriram United 2–0 Sukhothai FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Buriram United vs Sukhothai FC?
Buriram United vs Sukhothai FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Chang Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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