Buriram United vs Chonburi FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chonburi FC travel to face Buriram United on Saturday 14 March in the Thai League 1, with Chang Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Buriram United are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 7 matches; Chonburi FC are 13th (lower half) with 7.
Current form
Buriram United, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Nakhon Ratchasima FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Chonburi FC, last 4: WLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over BG Pathum United, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Buriram United, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Chonburi FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Buriram United 2.2 xG, Chonburi FC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Buriram United 71%, draw 18%, Chonburi FC 10%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.92, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buriram United 2–1 Chonburi FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Buriram United71%fair 1.40 · @1.18
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @6.00
Chonburi FC10%fair 9.72 · @11.00
2.88Expected goals
2.16Buriram United xG
0.72Chonburi FC xG
52%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
3–09%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Buriram United 2.2 – 0.7 Chonburi FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buriram United to win✓
71%
1.40
1.18
Double chance
Buriram United or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Buriram United (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Buriram United -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Buriram United to score first✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Buriram United ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buriram United / FT Buriram United✓
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
Buriram United – last 6
WDWWWW
7 Mar
@ Nakhon Ratchasima FC
3–0
W
3 Mar
@ Melbourne City
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Khon Kaen United
6–0
W
21 Feb
vs Sukhothai FC
6–0
W
17 Feb
vs Shanghai Shenhua
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ BG Pathum United
3–1
W
3.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chonburi FC – last 4
WLWD
8 Mar
@ BG Pathum United
3–2
W
28 Feb
vs Ayutthaya FC
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Chiangrai United
3–1
W
13 Feb
vs Uthai Thani
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buriram United and Chonburi FC.
What is the prediction for Buriram United vs Chonburi FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Buriram United vs Chonburi FC?
On our numbers Buriram United have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Chonburi FC 10%.
How many goals will there be in Buriram United vs Chonburi FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buriram United vs Chonburi FC?
Our predicted score is Buriram United 2–1 Chonburi FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Buriram United vs Chonburi FC?
Buriram United vs Chonburi FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Chang Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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